0
Assigned ID: 1045
----- Attempting Submission 1 (Fri Apr 08 23:42:11 GMT 2016) -----
HST Phase I Proposal 1045 (M87_Rnovae.apt) successfully submitted.
Receipt: # 1045-1
----- Attempting Submission 2 (Sat Apr 09 00:01:35 GMT 2016) -----
Hi, This phase 2 was prepared by David Zurek. We have added Dr. Daniel J. Eisentein to the list of CoI's. If there are any problems with this submission please contact
David Zurek (dzurek@amnh.org) as well as the PI (Micahael Shara - mshara@amnh.org). I have made adjustments to the exposure times for each visit. Thank you.
553351849
----- Attempting Submission 1 (Fri Jul 08 20:25:48 GMT 2016) -----
----- Attempting Submission 2 (Thu Sep 08 17:06:23 GMT 2016) -----
Ultraviolet Flashers in M87: Rapidly Recurring Novae as SNIa Progenitors
The recent discovery of a recurrent nova erupting every six months in M31, and simultaneous development of a consistent theoretical/numerical model for growing white dwarfs (WDs) to the Chandrasekhar limit, points the way to locating UV-bright SNIa progenitors in galaxies. We propose to monitor M87 with a cadence of 5 days over a 9 month-long span to 1) detect all the NUV-bright, near-Chandrasekhar mass WDs accreting at high enough rates to become SNIa in the next ~ 200,000 years; 2) determine their eruption frequency distribution, which is diagnostic of the underlying white dwarf accretion rates; 3) test nova modelers' prediction that recurrent novae can never erupt more frequently that once in 45 days; 4) definitively determine the rate Rnova of nova eruptions in M87; 5) confront population synthesis models predictions of Rnova with our observationally determined value; and 6) check the claim (observed in M31) that 20-41% of all nova WDs have red giant secondaries. A free bonus of these observations will be the deepest-ever NUV image of the M87 jet, and the highest cadence ever sequence of images of the jet, which includes knots mysteriously varying in brightness by up to 5 magnitudes.
We propose to observe M87 with the WFC3, using the F275W and F606W filters, every 5 days for 1 orbit over the 265 day span in cycle 24 when HST can observe this galaxy. This amounts to 53 orbits in total. 3 dithered images of 500 seconds duration each in F275W will be followed by two dithered images of 350 seconds in F606W at each epoch. We are requesting this very long baseline of observations to guarantee our detectng at least two eruptions of the rapidly accreting WDs in M87 which are close enough to the Chandrasekhar mass - i.e., within about 0.02Mo - to erupt every 4.5 months. The nondetection of such objects would essentially rule out RNe as viable SNIa progenitors.
Novae display very strong emission lines during eruption, so ETC calculations are rough guides, at best. Our own archival survey of M87 (Shara et al 2016), using WFPC2 F606W images demonstrates that we detect even the faintest M87 novae (as faint as 27th magnitude) with 500 second exposures and S/N = 5-10. Novae are typically 1-2 magnitudes brighter in the NUV during eruption than in the optical (e.g., Bode et al 2016, Figure 1). The detection of M87 NUV transients that must be novae, in STIS NUV MAMA images, has been demonstrated by Sohn et al (2006) and by Madrid, Sparks et al (2007). The ETC calculates S/N = 5 for a 25th magnitude black body at 40,000 Kelvins in 1500 seconds with the F275W filter. It also calculates S/N= 5 for a 10,000 Kelvins black body at an F275W magnitude = 26.5. The detection of novae with the WFC3/ F275W combination, with 1500 seconds of total exposure, at 23-25th magnitude, will be straightforward. We will, of course, use WFC3 rather than the STIS MAMAs because of the much larger Field of View
of WFC3.
Finally, we note that we are not missing novae because of dust obscuration, as evidenced by M87s lack of far infrared emission (Baes et al. 2010), lack of cool molecular gas (Tan et al. 2008; Salome & Combes 2008) and non-detection of significant intrinsic absorption in
the galaxys X-ray spectrum (Bohringer et al. 2002).
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v15.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([15 After 01 by 70.0 to 71.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "15"
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v16.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([16 After 01 by 75.0 to 76.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "16"
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:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v17.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([17 After 01 by 80.0 to 81.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "17"
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v18.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([18 After 01 by 85.0 to 86.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "18"
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:trans-version "20160601"
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v19.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([19 After 01 by 90.0 to 91.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "19"
:proposal-version -1
:trans-version "20160601"
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:pcs-gap 0
)
true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v20.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([20 After 01 by 95.0 to 96.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "20"
:proposal-version -1
:trans-version "20160601"
:date "07-Sep-2016 14:22:34.0"
:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v21.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([21 After 01 by 100.0 to 101.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "21"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v22.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([22 After 01 by 105.0 to 106.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "22"
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v23.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([23 After 01 by 110.0 to 111.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "23"
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:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v24.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([24 After 01 by 115.0 to 116.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "24"
:proposal-version -1
:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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:number-of-orbits 1
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:si-bright-earth-limb-angle 20.0
:data-volume 1443744
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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)
true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v25.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([25 After 01 by 120.0 to 121.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "25"
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:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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:saa-model "29"
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v26.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([26 After 01 by 125.0 to 126.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "26"
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:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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:pcs-gap 0
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v27.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([27 After 01 by 130.0 to 131.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "27"
:proposal-version -1
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v28.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([28 After 01 by 135.0 to 136.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "28"
:proposal-version -1
:trans-version "20160601"
:date "07-Sep-2016 11:56:12.0"
:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v29.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([29 After 01 by 140.0 to 141.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
:proposal-id 14618
:visit-id "29"
:proposal-version -1
:trans-version "20160601"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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:number-of-orbits 1
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v30.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([30 After 01 by 145.0 to 146.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "30"
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(Tic-Obset
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v31.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([31 After 01 by 150.0 to 151.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "31"
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:trans-errors '(:WARNINGS 0 :ERRORS 0 :HEALTH-AND-SAFETY 0
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v32.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([32 After 01 by 155.0 to 156.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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:visit-id "32"
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(Tic-Obset
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(Tic-Orbit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v33.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([33 After 01 by 160.0 to 161.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v34.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([34 After 01 by 165.0 to 166.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
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(Tic-Visit
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true
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v35.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([35 After 01 by 170.0 to 171.0 days])
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(Tic-Visit
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true
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v36.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([36 After 01 by 175.0 to 176.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v37.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([37 After 01 by 180.0 to 181.0 days])
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(Tic-Visit
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true
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v38.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([38 After 01 by 185.0 to 186.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v39.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([39 After 01 by 190.0 to 191.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
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(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v40.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([40 After 01 by 195.0 to 196.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
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(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v41.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([41 After 01 by 200.0 to 201.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v42.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([42 After 01 by 205.0 to 206.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v43.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([43 After 01 by 210.0 to 211.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v44.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([44 After 01 by 215.0 to 216.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
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(Tic-Visit
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1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v45.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([45 After 01 by 220.0 to 221.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v46.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([46 After 01 by 225.0 to 226.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v47.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([47 After 01 by 230.0 to 231.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v48.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([48 After 01 by 235.0 to 236.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v49.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([49 After 01 by 240.0 to 241.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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true
1
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/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v50.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([50 After 01 by 245.0 to 246.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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(Tic-Obset
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true
1
0
/home/dzurek/HST_proposals_2016/OP-cache/M87_phase2_14618-v51.xml
Timing link suitability includes constraints ([51 After 01 by 250.0 to 251.0 days])
The scheduling data was generated by CASM 24.2.
CASM was run in Phase II mode.
(Tic-Visit
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